Collision_Severity_Modelling.ipynb

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    "# Model building excercise\n",
    "\n",
    "Model building for prediction of Severity of a collision.\n",
    "\n",
    "**Note:** Some of the code is taken from the Visualization excercise, and hence not annotated.\n",
    "\n",
    "** Selected Model ** : GradientBoostedClassifier\n",
    "\n",
    "The gradient boosted classifier provided the below metrics\n",
    "Configuration: n_estimators=350, learning_rate= 0.01, max_depth=6 \n",
    "********** REPORT *************\n",
    "\n",
    "Confusion Matrix:\n",
    "\n",
    "classes:\n",
    "\n",
    "cls  1    2    3\n",
    "[[   1    4    7]\n",
    " [   4   52  116]\n",
    " [   4   97 1550]]\n",
    "\n",
    "Accuracy:  0.873569482289\n",
    "\n",
    "Recall:  0.873569482289\n",
    "\n",
    "Also it scored 90.03 on kaggle leaderboard.\n"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "markdown",
   "metadata": {},
   "source": [
    "## Importing Packages"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 1,
   "metadata": {
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   "outputs": [],
   "source": [
    "# Import the required packages\n",
    "import pandas as pd\n",
    "import seaborn as sns\n",
    "import matplotlib.pyplot as plt\n",
    "\n",
    "from sklearn import preprocessing\n",
    "from sklearn.metrics import recall_score, confusion_matrix, accuracy_score\n",
    "from sklearn.metrics import precision_score\n",
    "\n",
    "%matplotlib inline"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "markdown",
   "metadata": {},
   "source": [
    "## Reading & Preprocessing Data"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 2,
   "metadata": {
    "collapsed": true
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   "outputs": [],
   "source": [
    "# Function to preprocess input data\n",
    "def preprocess(file):\n",
    "    df = pd.read_csv(file, encoding=\"ISO-8859-1\")\n",
    "    df.columns = [\"_\".join(x.split(\" \")) for x in df.columns]\n",
    "    df.Speed_Limit = df.Speed_Limit.fillna(df.Speed_Limit.mean())\n",
    "    df = df.fillna(df.mode().iloc[0])\n",
    "\n",
    "    le_PA = preprocessing.LabelEncoder()\n",
    "    le_WD = preprocessing.LabelEncoder()\n",
    "    le_PA.fit(list(df.Policing_Area.unique()))\n",
    "    le_WD.fit([\"MON\", \"TUE\", \"WED\", \"THU\", \"FRI\", \"SAT\", \"SUN\"])\n",
    "    df.Policing_Area = le_PA.transform(df.Policing_Area)\n",
    "    df.Weekday_of_Collision = le_WD.transform(df.Weekday_of_Collision)\n",
    "    # Convert floats to int\n",
    "\n",
    "    df[\"Hour_of_Collision_(24_hour)\"] = df[\"Hour_of_Collision_(24_hour)\"].astype(int)\n",
    "    df.Junction_Detail = df.Junction_Detail.astype(int)\n",
    "    df.Junction_Control = df.Junction_Control.astype(int)\n",
    "    df[\"Pedestrian_Crossing__Human_Control\"]= df[\"Pedestrian_Crossing__Human_Control\"].astype(int)\n",
    "    df[\"Pedestrian_Crossing__Physical_Control\"] = df[\"Pedestrian_Crossing__Physical_Control\"].astype(int)\n",
    "    df.Road_Surface_Conditions = df.Road_Surface_Conditions.astype(int)\n",
    "    df.Special_Conditions_at_Site = df.Special_Conditions_at_Site.astype(int)\n",
    "    return df\n",
    "\n",
    "# Function to create a submission\n",
    "def create_submission(testdf, Y_pred, filename):\n",
    "    sub = pd.DataFrame()\n",
    "    sub[\"Collision Reference No.\"] = testdf[\"Collision_Reference_No.\"]\n",
    "    sub[\"Collision Severity\"] = Y_pred\n",
    "    sub.to_csv(filename, index=False)\n",
    "    \n",
    "traindf = preprocess(\"data/train_PHD.csv\")\n",
    "valdf = preprocess(\"data/validation_PHD.csv\")\n",
    "\n",
    "testdf = preprocess(\"data/test_NoTarget_PHD.csv\")"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "markdown",
   "metadata": {},
   "source": [
    "## Data Splitting\n",
    "\n",
    "Split the data in to 'Dependent' and 'Independent', Features and lables.\n",
    "So that once we have the data split in place later we can try multiple models on it."
   ]
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   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 3,
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   "source": [
    "# Features selected for training of a model\n",
    "inpcols = [ \n",
    "     'Policing_Area',\n",
    "#      'Weekday_of_Collision',\n",
    "     'Day_of_Collision',\n",
    "     'Month_of_Collision',\n",
    "     'Hour_of_Collision_(24_hour)',\n",
    "     'Carriageway_Type',\n",
    "     'Speed_Limit',\n",
    "     'Junction_Detail',\n",
    "#      'Junction_Control',\n",
    "     'Pedestrian_Crossing_\\x96_Human_Control',\n",
    "     'Pedestrian_Crossing_\\x96_Physical_Control',\n",
    "     'Light_Conditions',\n",
    "     'Weather_Conditions',\n",
    "     'Road_Surface_Conditions',\n",
    "     'Special_Conditions_at_Site'\n",
    "]\n",
    "\n",
    "opcol = \"Collision_Severity\"\n",
    "\n",
    "# Train data X = Features, y = Label\n",
    "X = traindf[inpcols]\n",
    "y = traindf[opcol]\n",
    "\n",
    "# Validation data Xv = Features of val dataset, yv = Labels of val dataset\n",
    "Xv = valdf[inpcols]\n",
    "yv = valdf[opcol]\n",
    "\n",
    "# Test data on which we have to build the submission\n",
    "X_test = testdf[inpcols]\n",
    "\n",
    "# Binning of speed limit into 1, 2, 3. 1 -> [10, 15, 20], 2 -> [30, 40, 50], 3 -> [60, 65, 70]\n",
    "# X.Speed_Limit = X.Speed_Limit.map(lambda x: 1 if x in [10, 15, 20] else 2 if x in [30, 40, 50] else 3)\n",
    "# Xv.Speed_Limit = Xv.Speed_Limit.map(lambda x: 1 if x in [10, 15, 20] else 2 if x in [30, 40, 50] else 3)"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "markdown",
   "metadata": {},
   "source": [
    "# Utility Functions"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 4,
   "metadata": {
    "collapsed": true
   },
   "outputs": [],
   "source": [
    "# Function to print the metrics for a given prediction eg. Accuracy, Recall, Precision\n",
    "def print_report(yv, yv_pred):\n",
    "    print(\"********** REPORT *************\")\n",
    "    print(\"Confusion Matrix:\")\n",
    "    print(\"classes:\")\n",
    "    print(\"cls  1    2    3\")\n",
    "    print(confusion_matrix(yv, yv_pred))\n",
    "    print(\"Accuracy: \", accuracy_score(yv, yv_pred))\n",
    "    print(\"Recall: \", recall_score(yv, yv_pred, average=\"weighted\"))\n",
    "    print(\"Precision: \", precision_score(yv, yv_pred, average=\"weighted\"))"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "markdown",
   "metadata": {},
   "source": [
    "# Logistic Regresstion\n",
    "\n",
    "Simplest model to try on any classification problem"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 5,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "Class Labels:\n",
      "3    1651\n",
      "2     172\n",
      "1      12\n",
      "Name: Collision_Severity, dtype: int64\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "For value of C= 100 and Loss Function p= l1\n",
      "********** REPORT *************\n",
      "Confusion Matrix:\n",
      "classes:\n",
      "cls  1    2    3\n",
      "[[   0    0   12]\n",
      " [   0    0  172]\n",
      " [   0    0 1651]]\n",
      "Accuracy:  0.899727520436\n",
      "Recall:  0.899727520436\n",
      "Precision:  0.80950961103\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "For value of C= 100 and Loss Function p= l2\n",
      "********** REPORT *************\n",
      "Confusion Matrix:\n",
      "classes:\n",
      "cls  1    2    3\n",
      "[[   0    0   12]\n",
      " [   0    0  172]\n",
      " [   0    0 1651]]\n",
      "Accuracy:  0.899727520436\n",
      "Recall:  0.899727520436\n",
      "Precision:  0.80950961103\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "For value of C= 1 and Loss Function p= l1\n",
      "********** REPORT *************\n",
      "Confusion Matrix:\n",
      "classes:\n",
      "cls  1    2    3\n",
      "[[   0    0   12]\n",
      " [   0    0  172]\n",
      " [   0    0 1651]]\n",
      "Accuracy:  0.899727520436\n",
      "Recall:  0.899727520436\n",
      "Precision:  0.80950961103\n"
     ]
    },
    {
     "name": "stderr",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "/Users/kaustubhn/anaconda3/lib/python3.6/site-packages/sklearn/metrics/classification.py:1113: UndefinedMetricWarning: Precision is ill-defined and being set to 0.0 in labels with no predicted samples.\n",
      "  'precision', 'predicted', average, warn_for)\n"
     ]
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     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "For value of C= 1 and Loss Function p= l2\n",
      "********** REPORT *************\n",
      "Confusion Matrix:\n",
      "classes:\n",
      "cls  1    2    3\n",
      "[[   0    0   12]\n",
      " [   0    0  172]\n",
      " [   0    0 1651]]\n",
      "Accuracy:  0.899727520436\n",
      "Recall:  0.899727520436\n",
      "Precision:  0.80950961103\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "For value of C= 0.01 and Loss Function p= l1\n",
      "********** REPORT *************\n",
      "Confusion Matrix:\n",
      "classes:\n",
      "cls  1    2    3\n",
      "[[   0    0   12]\n",
      " [   0    0  172]\n",
      " [   0    0 1651]]\n",
      "Accuracy:  0.899727520436\n",
      "Recall:  0.899727520436\n",
      "Precision:  0.80950961103\n",
      "\n",
      "\n",
      "For value of C= 0.01 and Loss Function p= l2\n",
      "********** REPORT *************\n",
      "Confusion Matrix:\n",
      "classes:\n",
      "cls  1    2    3\n",
      "[[   0    0   12]\n",
      " [   0    0  172]\n",
      " [   0    0 1651]]\n",
      "Accuracy:  0.899727520436\n",
      "Recall:  0.899727520436\n",
      "Precision:  0.80950961103\n"
     ]
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "from sklearn.linear_model import LogisticRegression\n",
    "\n",
    "print(\"Class Labels:\")\n",
    "print(yv.value_counts())\n",
    "\n",
    "for C in [100, 1, 0.01]:\n",
    "    for p in [\"l1\", \"l2\"]:\n",
    "        clf = LogisticRegression(C=C, penalty=p, tol=0.01)\n",
    "        clf.fit(X, y)\n",
    "        yv_pred = clf.predict(Xv)\n",
    "        print(\"\\n\\nFor value of C=\", C, \"and Loss Function p=\", p)\n",
    "        print_report(yv, yv_pred)"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "markdown",
   "metadata": {},
   "source": [
    "# Decision Trees\n",
    "\n",
    "Lets build a classifer based on decision trees."
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 6,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "********** REPORT *************\n",
      "Confusion Matrix:\n",
      "classes:\n",
      "cls  1    2    3\n",
      "[[   1    3    8]\n",
      " [   2   30  140]\n",
      " [   0   29 1622]]\n",
      "Accuracy:  0.900817438692\n",
      "Recall:  0.900817438692\n",
      "Precision:  0.872030566178\n"
     ]
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "from sklearn import tree\n",
    "\n",
    "clf = tree.DecisionTreeClassifier(max_depth=7, random_state=1234, criterion=\"gini\", splitter=\"best\")\n",
    "clf.fit(X, y)\n",
    "yv_pred = clf.predict(Xv)\n",
    "print_report(yv, yv_pred)"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 7,
   "metadata": {
    "scrolled": false
   },
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       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"196.7686\" y=\"-106.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">samples = 171</text>\n",
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       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"403.7686\" y=\"-134.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">X[1] &lt;= 16.5</text>\n",
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       "<!-- 6&#45;&gt;8 -->\n",
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       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"2345.7686\" y=\"-20.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">samples = 119</text>\n",
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       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"3854.7686\" y=\"-306.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">samples = 581</text>\n",
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       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"4053.7686\" y=\"-306.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">samples = 17</text>\n",
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       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"3607.7686\" y=\"-206.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">samples = 559</text>\n",
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       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"3854.7686\" y=\"-206.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">samples = 22</text>\n",
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       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"3388.7686\" y=\"-106.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">samples = 386</text>\n",
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       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"3607.7686\" y=\"-120.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">gini = 0.4795</text>\n",
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       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"3240.7686\" y=\"-20.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">samples = 55</text>\n",
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       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"4308.7686\" y=\"-206.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">samples = 36</text>\n",
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       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"4446.7686\" y=\"-206.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">samples = 118</text>\n",
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       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"4711.7686\" y=\"-113.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">samples = 2</text>\n",
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       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"4835.7686\" y=\"-113.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">samples = 2</text>\n",
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       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"4959.7686\" y=\"-120.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">gini = 0.5</text>\n",
       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"4959.7686\" y=\"-106.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">samples = 2</text>\n",
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       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"5086.7686\" y=\"-120.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">gini = 0.1271</text>\n",
       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"5086.7686\" y=\"-106.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">samples = 44</text>\n",
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       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"4835.7686\" y=\"-20.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">samples = 1</text>\n",
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       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"5083.7686\" y=\"-20.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">samples = 4</text>\n",
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       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"6985.7686\" y=\"-406.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">samples = 1018</text>\n",
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       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"5817.7686\" y=\"-306.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">samples = 1922</text>\n",
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       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"6196.7686\" y=\"-306.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">samples = 1007</text>\n",
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       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"5623.7686\" y=\"-220.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">gini = 0.0083</text>\n",
       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"5623.7686\" y=\"-206.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">samples = 1913</text>\n",
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       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"5817.7686\" y=\"-234.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">X[2] &lt;= 6.5</text>\n",
       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"5817.7686\" y=\"-220.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">gini = 0.1975</text>\n",
       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"5817.7686\" y=\"-206.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">samples = 9</text>\n",
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       "<polygon fill=\"none\" stroke=\"#000000\" points=\"5545.8065,-150 5419.7306,-150 5419.7306,-86 5545.8065,-86 5545.8065,-150\"/>\n",
       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"5482.7686\" y=\"-134.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">X[8] &lt;= 11.5</text>\n",
       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"5482.7686\" y=\"-120.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">gini = 0.0049</text>\n",
       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"5482.7686\" y=\"-106.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">samples = 1622</text>\n",
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       "<polygon fill=\"none\" stroke=\"#000000\" points=\"5683.3066,-150 5564.2306,-150 5564.2306,-86 5683.3066,-86 5683.3066,-150\"/>\n",
       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"5623.7686\" y=\"-134.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">X[12] &lt;= 3.5</text>\n",
       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"5623.7686\" y=\"-120.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">gini = 0.0271</text>\n",
       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"5623.7686\" y=\"-106.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">samples = 291</text>\n",
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       "<polygon fill=\"none\" stroke=\"#000000\" points=\"5411.8065,-50 5285.7306,-50 5285.7306,0 5411.8065,0 5411.8065,-50\"/>\n",
       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"5348.7686\" y=\"-34.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">gini = 0.0037</text>\n",
       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"5348.7686\" y=\"-20.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">samples = 1598</text>\n",
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       "<!-- 103&#45;&gt;104 -->\n",
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       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"5486.7686\" y=\"-34.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">gini = 0.0799</text>\n",
       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"5486.7686\" y=\"-20.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">samples = 24</text>\n",
       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"5486.7686\" y=\"-6.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">value = [0, 1, 23]</text>\n",
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       "<!-- 103&#45;&gt;105 -->\n",
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       "<title>103&#45;&gt;105</title>\n",
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       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"5620.7686\" y=\"-20.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">samples = 287</text>\n",
       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"5620.7686\" y=\"-6.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">value = [0, 3, 284]</text>\n",
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       "<!-- 106&#45;&gt;107 -->\n",
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       "<title>106&#45;&gt;107</title>\n",
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       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"5751.7686\" y=\"-20.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">samples = 4</text>\n",
       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"5751.7686\" y=\"-6.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">value = [0, 1, 3]</text>\n",
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       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"5754.7686\" y=\"-127.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">gini = 0.0</text>\n",
       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"5754.7686\" y=\"-113.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">samples = 1</text>\n",
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       "<title>109&#45;&gt;110</title>\n",
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       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"5878.7686\" y=\"-113.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">samples = 8</text>\n",
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       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"7630.7686\" y=\"-206.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">samples = 140</text>\n",
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       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"7967.7686\" y=\"-34.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">gini = 0.0</text>\n",
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       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"8370.7686\" y=\"-20.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">samples = 214</text>\n",
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       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"9409.7686\" y=\"-406.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">samples = 689</text>\n",
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       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"10901.7686\" y=\"-406.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">samples = 1784</text>\n",
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       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"9225.7686\" y=\"-320.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">gini = 0.1806</text>\n",
       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"9225.7686\" y=\"-306.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">samples = 403</text>\n",
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       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"9734.7686\" y=\"-306.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">samples = 286</text>\n",
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       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"8831.7686\" y=\"-206.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">samples = 197</text>\n",
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       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"12129.7686\" y=\"-34.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">gini = 0.3503</text>\n",
       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"12129.7686\" y=\"-20.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">samples = 53</text>\n",
       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"12129.7686\" y=\"-6.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">value = [0, 12, 41]</text>\n",
       "</g>\n",
       "<!-- 212&#45;&gt;213 -->\n",
       "<g id=\"edge213\" class=\"edge\">\n",
       "<title>212&#45;&gt;213</title>\n",
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       "</g>\n",
       "<!-- 214 -->\n",
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       "<title>214</title>\n",
       "<polygon fill=\"none\" stroke=\"#000000\" points=\"12326.293,-50 12207.2441,-50 12207.2441,0 12326.293,0 12326.293,-50\"/>\n",
       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"12266.7686\" y=\"-34.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">gini = 0.0504</text>\n",
       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"12266.7686\" y=\"-20.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">samples = 116</text>\n",
       "<text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"12266.7686\" y=\"-6.8\" font-family=\"Times,serif\" font-size=\"14.00\" fill=\"#000000\">value = [0, 3, 113]</text>\n",
       "</g>\n",
       "<!-- 212&#45;&gt;214 -->\n",
       "<g id=\"edge214\" class=\"edge\">\n",
       "<title>212&#45;&gt;214</title>\n",
       "<path fill=\"none\" stroke=\"#000000\" d=\"M12176.9162,-85.9947C12191.274,-76.2481 12207.0225,-65.5575 12221.2692,-55.8864\"/>\n",
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       "</g>\n",
       "</g>\n",
       "</svg>\n"
      ],
      "text/plain": [
       "<graphviz.files.Source at 0x118725c50>"
      ]
     },
     "execution_count": 7,
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "execute_result"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "import graphviz\n",
    "dot_data = tree.export_graphviz(clf, out_file=None)\n",
    "graph = graphviz.Source(dot_data)\n",
    "\n",
    "# Visual Representation of the decision tree\n",
    "graph # Uncomment to view visual tree in notebook"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "markdown",
   "metadata": {},
   "source": [
    "# Support Vector Machines\n",
    "\n",
    "Build a svm model to classify the severity of the collision"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 10,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "********** REPORT *************\n",
      "Confusion Matrix:\n",
      "classes:\n",
      "cls  1    2    3\n",
      "[[   0    0   12]\n",
      " [   0   12  160]\n",
      " [   4   43 1604]]\n",
      "Accuracy:  0.880653950954\n",
      "Recall:  0.880653950954\n",
      "Precision:  0.833042576885\n"
     ]
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "from sklearn import svm\n",
    "\n",
    "# Types of kernals available\n",
    "# kernals = [\"linear\", \"poly\", \"rbf\", \"sigmoid\", \"precomputed\"]\n",
    "clf = svm.SVC(kernel=\"rbf\", class_weight=\"balanced\", degree=2)\n",
    "clf.fit(X, y)\n",
    "yv_pred = clf.predict(Xv)\n",
    "print_report(yv, yv_pred)"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "markdown",
   "metadata": {},
   "source": [
    "# Ensemble Methods"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "markdown",
   "metadata": {},
   "source": [
    "# Random Forest"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 11,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "********** REPORT *************\n",
      "Confusion Matrix:\n",
      "classes:\n",
      "cls  1    2    3\n",
      "[[   0    0   12]\n",
      " [   0   17  155]\n",
      " [   0   22 1629]]\n",
      "Accuracy:  0.897002724796\n",
      "Recall:  0.897002724796\n",
      "Precision:  0.856924849262\n"
     ]
    },
    {
     "name": "stderr",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "/Users/kaustubhn/anaconda3/lib/python3.6/site-packages/sklearn/metrics/classification.py:1113: UndefinedMetricWarning: Precision is ill-defined and being set to 0.0 in labels with no predicted samples.\n",
      "  'precision', 'predicted', average, warn_for)\n"
     ]
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "from sklearn.ensemble import RandomForestClassifier\n",
    "\n",
    "# clf = RandomForestClassifier(n_estimators=50, class_weight={1: 10, 2: 10, 3: 1})\n",
    "clf = RandomForestClassifier(n_estimators=300)\n",
    "clf.fit(X, y)\n",
    "yv_pred = clf.predict(Xv)\n",
    "print_report(yv, yv_pred)\n",
    "\n",
    "# Generate submission file uncomment below lines\n",
    "# Y_pred = clf.predict(X_test)\n",
    "# create_submission(testdf, Y_pred,\"submission_1_rf.csv\")"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "markdown",
   "metadata": {},
   "source": [
    "# Gradient Boosting"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 12,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "********** REPORT *************\n",
      "Confusion Matrix:\n",
      "classes:\n",
      "cls  1    2    3\n",
      "[[   1    3    8]\n",
      " [   3   49  120]\n",
      " [   4  102 1545]]\n",
      "Accuracy:  0.869209809264\n",
      "Recall:  0.869209809264\n",
      "Precision:  0.861531594852\n"
     ]
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "from sklearn.ensemble import GradientBoostingClassifier\n",
    "\n",
    "# Best till now n_estimators=350, lr= 0.01, max_depth=6 # 91.33, 91.33, 88.9\n",
    "clf = GradientBoostingClassifier(n_estimators=200, learning_rate=0.1, max_depth=None, random_state=123)\n",
    "clf.fit(X, y)\n",
    "yv_pred = clf.predict(Xv)\n",
    "print_report(yv, yv_pred)\n",
    "\n",
    "# Generate submission file uncomment below lines\n",
    "# Y_pred = clf.predict(X_test)\n",
    "# create_submission(testdf, Y_pred, \"submission_2_gbc.csv\")"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "markdown",
   "metadata": {},
   "source": [
    "# AdaBoost"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 13,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "********** REPORT *************\n",
      "Confusion Matrix:\n",
      "classes:\n",
      "cls  1    2    3\n",
      "[[   0    0   12]\n",
      " [   0    0  172]\n",
      " [   0    0 1651]]\n",
      "Accuracy:  0.899727520436\n",
      "Recall:  0.899727520436\n",
      "Precision:  0.80950961103\n"
     ]
    },
    {
     "name": "stderr",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "/Users/kaustubhn/anaconda3/lib/python3.6/site-packages/sklearn/metrics/classification.py:1113: UndefinedMetricWarning: Precision is ill-defined and being set to 0.0 in labels with no predicted samples.\n",
      "  'precision', 'predicted', average, warn_for)\n"
     ]
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "from sklearn.ensemble import AdaBoostClassifier\n",
    "\n",
    "clf = AdaBoostClassifier(n_estimators=500, learning_rate=0.001)\n",
    "clf.fit(X,y)\n",
    "yv_pred = clf.predict(Xv)\n",
    "print_report(yv, yv_pred)"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "markdown",
   "metadata": {},
   "source": [
    "# Bagging"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 14,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "********** REPORT *************\n",
      "Confusion Matrix:\n",
      "classes:\n",
      "cls  1    2    3\n",
      "[[   0    6    6]\n",
      " [   0   87   85]\n",
      " [   0  182 1469]]\n",
      "Accuracy:  0.84795640327\n",
      "Recall:  0.84795640327\n",
      "Precision:  0.876897118322\n"
     ]
    },
    {
     "name": "stderr",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "/Users/kaustubhn/anaconda3/lib/python3.6/site-packages/sklearn/metrics/classification.py:1113: UndefinedMetricWarning: Precision is ill-defined and being set to 0.0 in labels with no predicted samples.\n",
      "  'precision', 'predicted', average, warn_for)\n"
     ]
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "from sklearn.ensemble import BaggingClassifier\n",
    "from sklearn.neighbors import KNeighborsClassifier\n",
    "\n",
    "clf = tree.DecisionTreeClassifier(max_depth=8, random_state=1234, class_weight={0: 10, 1: 8, 2:1})\n",
    "bagging = BaggingClassifier(clf, max_samples=0.5, max_features=0.5)\n",
    "bagging.fit(X, y)\n",
    "yv_pred = bagging.predict(Xv)\n",
    "print_report(yv, yv_pred)"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "markdown",
   "metadata": {},
   "source": [
    "# Pattern Extraction\n",
    "Extract patterns based on the decision tree rules\n",
    "\n",
    "**Note**: This extraction will run only on decision tree model, make sure you run decision tree model before running the below function."
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 8,
   "metadata": {
    "collapsed": true
   },
   "outputs": [],
   "source": [
    "\n",
    "# Function to extract rules from decision trees.\n",
    "def print_decision_tree(tree, feature_names=None, offset_unit='    '):\n",
    "    '''Plots textual representation of rules of a decision tree\n",
    "    tree: scikit-learn representation of tree\n",
    "    feature_names: list of feature names. They are set to f1,f2,f3,... if not specified\n",
    "    offset_unit: a string of offset of the conditional block'''\n",
    "\n",
    "    left      = tree.tree_.children_left\n",
    "    right     = tree.tree_.children_right\n",
    "    threshold = tree.tree_.threshold\n",
    "    value = tree.tree_.value\n",
    "    if feature_names is None:\n",
    "        features  = ['f%d'%i for i in tree.tree_.feature]\n",
    "    else:\n",
    "        features  = [feature_names[i] for i in tree.tree_.feature]        \n",
    "\n",
    "    def recurse(left, right, threshold, features, node, depth=0):\n",
    "            offset = offset_unit*depth\n",
    "            if (threshold[node] != -2):\n",
    "                    print(offset+\"if ( \" + features[node] + \" <= \" + str(threshold[node]) + \" ) {\")\n",
    "                    if left[node] != -1:\n",
    "                            recurse (left, right, threshold, features,left[node],depth+1)\n",
    "                    print(offset+\"} else {\")\n",
    "                    if right[node] != -1:\n",
    "                            recurse (left, right, threshold, features,right[node],depth+1)\n",
    "                    print(offset+\"}\")\n",
    "            else:\n",
    "                    print(offset+\"return \" + str(value[node]))\n",
    "\n",
    "    recurse(left, right, threshold, features, 0,0)"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 9,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "name": "stdout",
     "output_type": "stream",
     "text": [
      "if ( Weather_Conditions <= 1.5 ) {\n",
      "    if ( Speed_Limit <= 55.0 ) {\n",
      "        if ( Road_Surface_Conditions <= 1.5 ) {\n",
      "            if ( Light_Conditions <= 1.5 ) {\n",
      "                if ( Month_of_Collision <= 10.5 ) {\n",
      "                    if ( Junction_Detail <= 11.0 ) {\n",
      "                        if ( Pedestrian_Crossing__Physical_Control <= 1.5 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[  6.  53.  77.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[  2.  22.  11.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    } else {\n",
      "                        if ( Day_of_Collision <= 16.5 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[  3.  17.  28.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[  0.  10.  39.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    }\n",
      "                } else {\n",
      "                    if ( Policing_Area <= 36.5 ) {\n",
      "                        if ( Day_of_Collision <= 12.5 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[  0.   1.  23.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[  0.   7.  16.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    } else {\n",
      "                        return [[ 0.  1.  0.]]\n",
      "                    }\n",
      "                }\n",
      "            } else {\n",
      "                if ( Hour_of_Collision_(24_hour) <= 17.5 ) {\n",
      "                    if ( Hour_of_Collision_(24_hour) <= 5.5 ) {\n",
      "                        if ( Light_Conditions <= 3.5 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[  0.  12.   5.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[  1.   0.  19.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    } else {\n",
      "                        if ( Special_Conditions_at_Site <= 4.5 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[   1.   42.  271.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[ 0.  3.  2.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    }\n",
      "                } else {\n",
      "                    if ( Light_Conditions <= 4.5 ) {\n",
      "                        if ( Hour_of_Collision_(24_hour) <= 20.5 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[  2.  13.  24.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[  0.  13.   6.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    } else {\n",
      "                        if ( Junction_Detail <= 11.0 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[  2.  15.  81.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[  2.  26.  42.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    }\n",
      "                }\n",
      "            }\n",
      "        } else {\n",
      "            if ( Day_of_Collision <= 25.5 ) {\n",
      "                if ( Policing_Area <= 38.5 ) {\n",
      "                    if ( Month_of_Collision <= 9.5 ) {\n",
      "                        if ( Month_of_Collision <= 3.5 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[  1.  15.  88.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[   2.    5.  131.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    } else {\n",
      "                        if ( Hour_of_Collision_(24_hour) <= 1.5 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[ 0.  2.  0.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[  4.  17.  98.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    }\n",
      "                } else {\n",
      "                    return [[ 0.  1.  0.]]\n",
      "                }\n",
      "            } else {\n",
      "                if ( Hour_of_Collision_(24_hour) <= 19.5 ) {\n",
      "                    if ( Month_of_Collision <= 1.5 ) {\n",
      "                        if ( Junction_Detail <= 3.5 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[ 0.  0.  3.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[ 0.  5.  1.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    } else {\n",
      "                        if ( Junction_Detail <= 9.0 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[  0.   8.  21.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[  0.   1.  31.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    }\n",
      "                } else {\n",
      "                    if ( Day_of_Collision <= 29.5 ) {\n",
      "                        return [[ 0.  4.  0.]]\n",
      "                    } else {\n",
      "                        if ( Light_Conditions <= 5.0 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[ 0.  1.  1.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[ 0.  0.  2.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    }\n",
      "                }\n",
      "            }\n",
      "        }\n",
      "    } else {\n",
      "        if ( Month_of_Collision <= 9.5 ) {\n",
      "            if ( Pedestrian_Crossing__Physical_Control <= 10.5 ) {\n",
      "                if ( Road_Surface_Conditions <= 6.5 ) {\n",
      "                    if ( Road_Surface_Conditions <= 1.5 ) {\n",
      "                        if ( Month_of_Collision <= 2.5 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[  4.  13.  38.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[  31.  140.  160.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    } else {\n",
      "                        if ( Junction_Detail <= 9.5 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[  9.  40.  68.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[  0.  10.  46.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    }\n",
      "                } else {\n",
      "                    if ( Day_of_Collision <= 24.5 ) {\n",
      "                        if ( Month_of_Collision <= 3.5 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[ 0.  6.  1.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[ 1.  3.  5.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    } else {\n",
      "                        return [[ 0.  6.  0.]]\n",
      "                    }\n",
      "                }\n",
      "            } else {\n",
      "                if ( Month_of_Collision <= 1.5 ) {\n",
      "                    return [[ 0.  1.  0.]]\n",
      "                } else {\n",
      "                    return [[  0.   0.  16.]]\n",
      "                }\n",
      "            }\n",
      "        } else {\n",
      "            if ( Junction_Detail <= 11.0 ) {\n",
      "                if ( Day_of_Collision <= 7.5 ) {\n",
      "                    if ( Junction_Detail <= 4.0 ) {\n",
      "                        if ( Pedestrian_Crossing__Physical_Control <= 5.0 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[  1.  14.  11.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[ 0.  0.  3.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    } else {\n",
      "                        return [[ 0.  0.  7.]]\n",
      "                    }\n",
      "                } else {\n",
      "                    if ( Junction_Detail <= 7.0 ) {\n",
      "                        if ( Day_of_Collision <= 25.0 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[  3.  15.  52.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[  1.   1.  21.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    } else {\n",
      "                        if ( Hour_of_Collision_(24_hour) <= 7.0 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[ 0.  3.  0.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[  1.   8.  13.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    }\n",
      "                }\n",
      "            } else {\n",
      "                if ( Carriageway_Type <= 11.5 ) {\n",
      "                    if ( Hour_of_Collision_(24_hour) <= 14.5 ) {\n",
      "                        return [[ 0.  2.  0.]]\n",
      "                    } else {\n",
      "                        return [[ 0.  0.  2.]]\n",
      "                    }\n",
      "                } else {\n",
      "                    if ( Policing_Area <= 0.5 ) {\n",
      "                        if ( Day_of_Collision <= 4.5 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[ 0.  0.  1.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[ 0.  1.  0.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    } else {\n",
      "                        if ( Hour_of_Collision_(24_hour) <= 3.0 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[ 0.  1.  3.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[  0.   2.  38.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    }\n",
      "                }\n",
      "            }\n",
      "        }\n",
      "    }\n",
      "} else {\n",
      "    if ( Road_Surface_Conditions <= 1.5 ) {\n",
      "        if ( Weather_Conditions <= 9.5 ) {\n",
      "            if ( Weather_Conditions <= 3.5 ) {\n",
      "                if ( Policing_Area <= 38.5 ) {\n",
      "                    if ( Day_of_Collision <= 25.5 ) {\n",
      "                        if ( Pedestrian_Crossing__Physical_Control <= 11.5 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[  2.00000000e+00   1.00000000e+00   1.59500000e+03]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[  0.   1.  23.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    } else {\n",
      "                        if ( Special_Conditions_at_Site <= 3.5 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[   0.    3.  284.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[ 0.  1.  3.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    }\n",
      "                } else {\n",
      "                    if ( Month_of_Collision <= 6.5 ) {\n",
      "                        return [[ 0.  1.  0.]]\n",
      "                    } else {\n",
      "                        return [[ 0.  0.  8.]]\n",
      "                    }\n",
      "                }\n",
      "            } else {\n",
      "                if ( Weather_Conditions <= 8.5 ) {\n",
      "                    if ( Carriageway_Type <= 12.0 ) {\n",
      "                        return [[ 1.  0.  0.]]\n",
      "                    } else {\n",
      "                        if ( Hour_of_Collision_(24_hour) <= 7.5 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[ 1.  1.  0.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[  0.  16.   0.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    }\n",
      "                } else {\n",
      "                    if ( Hour_of_Collision_(24_hour) <= 19.5 ) {\n",
      "                        if ( Speed_Limit <= 55.0 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[   0.    0.  605.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[   0.    3.  276.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    } else {\n",
      "                        if ( Speed_Limit <= 55.0 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[  0.   1.  74.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[  0.   4.  25.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    }\n",
      "                }\n",
      "            }\n",
      "        } else {\n",
      "            if ( Light_Conditions <= 2.5 ) {\n",
      "                if ( Hour_of_Collision_(24_hour) <= 7.5 ) {\n",
      "                    if ( Junction_Detail <= 5.0 ) {\n",
      "                        if ( Month_of_Collision <= 2.5 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[ 0.  2.  0.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[ 0.  2.  3.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    } else {\n",
      "                        return [[ 0.  0.  6.]]\n",
      "                    }\n",
      "                } else {\n",
      "                    if ( Policing_Area <= 37.5 ) {\n",
      "                        if ( Pedestrian_Crossing__Physical_Control <= 1.5 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[   1.    3.  401.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[  0.   3.  68.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    } else {\n",
      "                        if ( Hour_of_Collision_(24_hour) <= 16.5 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[ 0.  0.  7.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[ 0.  1.  0.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    }\n",
      "                }\n",
      "            } else {\n",
      "                if ( Light_Conditions <= 3.5 ) {\n",
      "                    if ( Day_of_Collision <= 24.5 ) {\n",
      "                        if ( Policing_Area <= 9.5 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[  0.   2.  37.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[  4.   7.  55.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    } else {\n",
      "                        if ( Month_of_Collision <= 3.5 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[  0.   0.  10.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[  0.  10.  15.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    }\n",
      "                } else {\n",
      "                    if ( Policing_Area <= 9.5 ) {\n",
      "                        if ( Day_of_Collision <= 20.5 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[   0.    0.  106.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[  0.   2.  43.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    } else {\n",
      "                        if ( Policing_Area <= 11.5 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[  0.   4.  12.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[   0.   16.  198.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    }\n",
      "                }\n",
      "            }\n",
      "        }\n",
      "    } else {\n",
      "        if ( Weather_Conditions <= 2.5 ) {\n",
      "            if ( Speed_Limit <= 55.0 ) {\n",
      "                if ( Junction_Detail <= 7.0 ) {\n",
      "                    if ( Pedestrian_Crossing__Physical_Control <= 11.5 ) {\n",
      "                        if ( Policing_Area <= 38.5 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[   2.    6.  182.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[ 0.  1.  1.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    } else {\n",
      "                        if ( Day_of_Collision <= 10.5 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[ 0.  2.  0.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[ 0.  0.  3.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    }\n",
      "                } else {\n",
      "                    if ( Hour_of_Collision_(24_hour) <= 18.5 ) {\n",
      "                        if ( Day_of_Collision <= 26.5 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[   2.   12.  138.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[  0.   7.  20.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    } else {\n",
      "                        if ( Light_Conditions <= 4.5 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[ 0.  7.  8.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[  0.   1.  11.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    }\n",
      "                }\n",
      "            } else {\n",
      "                if ( Day_of_Collision <= 16.5 ) {\n",
      "                    if ( Hour_of_Collision_(24_hour) <= 5.5 ) {\n",
      "                        if ( Day_of_Collision <= 6.0 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[ 0.  3.  0.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[ 1.  1.  4.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    } else {\n",
      "                        if ( Special_Conditions_at_Site <= 3.0 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[   3.   14.  114.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[ 0.  1.  0.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    }\n",
      "                } else {\n",
      "                    if ( Month_of_Collision <= 9.5 ) {\n",
      "                        if ( Light_Conditions <= 5.5 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[  2.  15.  65.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[ 1.  8.  9.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    } else {\n",
      "                        if ( Speed_Limit <= 65.0 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[  4.  21.  17.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[ 0.  0.  3.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    }\n",
      "                }\n",
      "            }\n",
      "        } else {\n",
      "            if ( Weather_Conditions <= 3.5 ) {\n",
      "                if ( Month_of_Collision <= 2.5 ) {\n",
      "                    if ( Hour_of_Collision_(24_hour) <= 1.5 ) {\n",
      "                        if ( Junction_Detail <= 5.5 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[ 0.  1.  0.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[ 0.  0.  2.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    } else {\n",
      "                        if ( Road_Surface_Conditions <= 2.5 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[  0.   0.  66.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[  0.   2.  11.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    }\n",
      "                } else {\n",
      "                    if ( Speed_Limit <= 65.0 ) {\n",
      "                        return [[   0.    0.  473.]]\n",
      "                    } else {\n",
      "                        if ( Hour_of_Collision_(24_hour) <= 19.5 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[  0.   0.  13.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[ 0.  1.  1.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    }\n",
      "                }\n",
      "            } else {\n",
      "                if ( Weather_Conditions <= 8.5 ) {\n",
      "                    if ( Light_Conditions <= 6.5 ) {\n",
      "                        if ( Pedestrian_Crossing__Physical_Control <= 11.5 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[  3.  35.   0.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[ 1.  0.  0.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    } else {\n",
      "                        if ( Policing_Area <= 16.5 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[ 4.  1.  0.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[ 0.  2.  0.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    }\n",
      "                } else {\n",
      "                    if ( Road_Surface_Conditions <= 3.5 ) {\n",
      "                        if ( Month_of_Collision <= 1.5 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[  0.   7.  84.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[   1.   14.  893.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    } else {\n",
      "                        if ( Hour_of_Collision_(24_hour) <= 10.5 ) {\n",
      "                            return [[  0.  12.  41.]]\n",
      "                        } else {\n",
      "                            return [[   0.    3.  113.]]\n",
      "                        }\n",
      "                    }\n",
      "                }\n",
      "            }\n",
      "        }\n",
      "    }\n",
      "}\n"
     ]
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "# Note run DT model before executing this cell\n",
    "print_decision_tree(clf, feature_names=list(X.columns))"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": null,
   "metadata": {
    "collapsed": true
   },
   "outputs": [],
   "source": []
  }
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